LABOUR WINS HOUNSLOW IN THE LONDON ELECTIONS – MAY 2012

Whilst Ken Livingstone narrowly lost to Boris Johnson in the Mayoral race on May 3rd, Labour won the vote across London in the two Assembly ballots.  In the south-west London contest Lisa Homan increased the Labour vote by nearly 20,000 pushing the Liberal Dems into third place for the first time since the London Assembly was formed.  This is remarkable as Hounslow is joined with Tory/Lib Dem-dominated Kingston and Richmond boroughs.

Breaking the figures down to the borough level. Labour beat the Tories by 14 point in Hounslow borough, with almost 47% of the vote [see chart above].  The Lib Dems (7%) were beaten by the Greens on 8%, whilst UKIP polled 5.5%.  Based on this result, Labour would be set to win Hounslow easily in the 2014 Council elections.  In a general election on the new Parliamentary boundaries, Labour would also win Brentford and Isleworth, by about 400 votes.

This analysis is taken from the party (list) ballot, as it takes out any element of personal vote, and excludes the very minor parties and independent candidates.  The ward data only includes those voting at polling stations - over a quarter of voters (16,400) voted by post and these were counted borough-wide.    

Across the whole borough, Labour performed strongly in all the wards where we hold seats as well as Hounslow South and Feltham North where all 6 Councillors are Tories [see  table below for full figures].  In Hanworth Park there were 2 votes in it, and in Osterley and Spring Grove Labour were just over 100 votes behind.  Labour also won the postal vote by about 500.   

These results provide the party with an excellent platform from which to campaign to retain control of Hounslow in 2014, and to win Brentford andIsleworth back in 2015.  However they are a simplification of what will be the real picture on the day particularly in the wards in the Council elections.  Lessons from across the UK on May 3^rd showed that good campaigns by local candidates win wards, and that no party, even in “safe” seats can take their victory for granted.

   

Ward  (B&I shaded)	Labour	Conservative	L/D	Green	UKIP	TOTAL
Postal votes	7344	5768	1240	1180	946	16478
Bedfont	752	583	127	101	172	1735
Brentford	1302	753	235	283	158	2731
Chiswick Homefields	714	1403	242	338	95	2792
Chiswick Riverside	741	1460	263	378	83	2925
Cranford	1288	320	70	72	42	1792
Feltham North	697	521	91	89	135	1533
Feltham West	893	589	130	113	200	1925
Hanworth	705	480	133	104	156	1578
Hanworth Park	745	747	156	97	199	1944
Heston Central	1113	421	101	105	76	1816
Heston East	1227	442	90	109	72	1940
Heston West	1518	369	83	100	90	2160
Hounslow Central	1458	612	128	175	96	2469
Hounslow Heath	1500	477	158	152	73	2360
Hounslow South	1333	939	155	233	128	2788
Hounslow West	1414	399	105	111	56	2085
Isleworth	1094	653	201	252	162	2362
Osterley &Spring Gr	1021	1134	187	211	102	2655
Syon	1088	777	176	339	158	2538
Turnham Green	713	1262	252	380	101	2708
TOTALS	28660	20109	4323	4922	3300	61314
Percentage	46.7	32.8	7	8	5.4